Knowledge Management System of Institue of Mechanics, CAS
| Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change | |
Wang LZ(王黎珍) ; Li JC(李家春); Wang, L.
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| Source Publication | Proceedings of the 9th (2010) ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010 |
| 2010 | |
| Conference Name | 9th ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010 |
| Conference Date | November 14, 2010 - November 17, 2010 |
| Conference Place | Busan, Korea, Republic of |
| Abstract | In this paper, 64-year tropical cyclone (TC) data in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) were analyzed to predict extreme wind speed under the background of climate change. The extreme value theory is presented in order to obtain extreme wind speed with different return periods in both stationary and non-stationary processes in the NWP. Results show that the non-stationary extreme wind speed of 50-year return periods is 3.2% higher than the stationary one in the NWP. As a result, it is proposed that the non-stationary effects of long-term variation in atmospheric general circulation should be considered in the offshore engineering standard or criterion revision. Copyright © 2010 by The International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers. |
| Keyword | Extreme Wind Speed Marine Environment Nonstationary Return Periods Tropical Cyclone |
| Department | LMFS水环境流体力学(LEM) |
| ISBN | 9781880653791 |
| Indexed By | EI |
| Language | 英语 |
| Document Type | 会议论文 |
| Identifier | http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/60353 |
| Collection | 环境力学重点实验室(2009-2011) |
| Corresponding Author | Wang, L. |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Wang LZ,Li JC,Wang, L.. Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change[C]Proceedings of the 9th (2010) ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010,2010. |
| Files in This Item: | Download All | |||||
| File Name/Size | DocType | Version | Access | License | ||
| Ca2010-087.pdf（515KB） | 会议论文 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Download | ||
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